Full form of GDP is Gross Domestic Product.
After
COVID19, in the year 2020, the most discussed thing was GDP.
As soon as lock down extended for more than 2 months, everyone predicted that it is going to affect economy a lot. Even those people who have zero knowledge about GDP, GNP and National income also predicted the same thing and everything happened just because of "Act of God'. So what did happen actually? Basically NSO released Q1 report of 2020-21 which showed GDP growth of our country as -23.9%.
Now the question is what is GDP?
It is Gross Domestic Product, which indicates the economic growth and economic
health of a country.
Why the growth is in negative and how is it calculated?
Before the year 1996, this was calculated on yearly basis but after that we
started calculating it on the quarter basis where we basically compare the
present quarter's GDP with last year's quarter which means the growth from last
quarter has decreased by 23.9%. There is no hope for positive growth which
means that in the upcoming quarters also, the growth is going to be in negative
as well and will range from -15 to -10%. It is being assumed that the next
year's GDP can show positive growth rate for our economy which is very obvious,
because next year's GDP will be compared with this year's and it will
definitely show positive growth.
It is not only our country which is facing economical slowdown. There are so
many other developing and developed countries as well which are facing the same
situation. For example United Kingdom being a developed nation faced a negative
growth of 21.7%. There are even countries who also had positive growth. These
are the one whose apps we have banned recently.
Lets see how to calculate GDP.
There are some sectors in our economy who contributes towards growth of our
economy. For example, consumption, investments, government expenditure and net
export. When these sectors show sign of growth, GDP grows, but every sector do
not contribute equally. For example, in last year's GDP private consumption
contributed around 54.4%, private investments contributed 32%, Government
expenditure. contributed 11% and net export of our country always shows negative
result because we export less and import more. But this year this number is in
positive figure which is again not so good for our economy because it shows
that we have demanded less product and it will ultimately shrink our economy.
What will be the after effect of these numbers?
GDP of our country is the lowest in the last 40 years, this will increase in
unemployment rates which is again highest of last 45 years. When unemployment
increases, it not only comes with financial effects but also comes with social
effects as well. One of them is increase in suicide rates.
Increase in suicide is more dangerous for our country, because financial
pressure creates highest number of suicides in our country and it occurs mostly
in the age group between 15-29 years, which is working population of our
country and also they contribute more in our economy. So this has macro effects
on country and micro effects on a single household. The fall in the growth rate
was already predicted by the RBI and other economist as well, but their
prediction was up to 15 to 20%.
If we talk about solutions, then consumers will have to increase the demand and
investors will have to invest to create the money flow in the market. To make
people demand, the goods, money is the foremost requirement. Some people don't
have enough money to demand, for example, migrant workers, and the ones who are
in a mood of saving the money because they have no more trust in the current
government.
Three solutions which can boost our economy as suggested by
Former Prime Minister Dr. Manmohan Singh in his interview given to BBC news
through Mail is as follows:
1. Provide financial assistance to people so that they can demand.
2. Give credit support to private investors.
3. Increase RBI intervention in economy.
At the end I would like to conclude this topic by saying that we have 2nd
largest population in the world. Our youth is very capable and educated, so why
not to use the youth population as asset instead of liability so that we can
contribute a lot towards our country's economical growth and development.
No comments:
Post a Comment